Study Says Climate too Complex for Accurate Predictions

I never would have thought that world wide climate would be so complex. Apparently, there is more to it than carbon dioxide emissions:

Climate change models, no matter how powerful, can never give a precise prediction of how greenhouse gases will warm the Earth, according to a new study.

The analysis focuses on the temperature increase that would occur if levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubled from pre-Industrial Revolution levels. The current best guess for this number – which is a useful way to gauge how sensitive the climate is to rising carbon levels – is that it lies between 2.0 C and 4.5 C. And there is a small chance that the temperature rise could be up to 8C or higher.

To the frustration of policy makers, it is an estimate that has not become much more precise over the last 20 years.

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Duane Lester Duane is a former Navy journalist turned blogger and podcaster.
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