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“even without Obamacare, government health spending is set to increase far faster than private health expenditures…”

Cue the graphic:

image

How did America go the point where there the government is spending more on health care than the millions of Americans not using government money to pay for treatment?

The Foundry spells it out:

Today the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services released its projections of national health expenditures for the next ten years.  The report shows that spending by the public sector grew much faster in 2009 at 8.7 percent, compared to the private sector which only grew at 3.0 percent.  Though public spending was heightened by the recession, as unemployment caused more Americans to lose employer-sponsored coverage and enroll in Medicaid, the trend is expected to continue into the next decade.

Well, at least it can’t get worse, right?  Right?

What is more, the report bases its projections on current law.  In the case of Medicare, this underestimates future spending.  Under current law, Medicare is set to reduce physician reimbursement rates by 21.3 percent in 2010.  This would lead to growth in Medicare spending of just 1.5 percent in 2010. However, the likelihood of these cuts coming to fruition is slim to none, as every year, Congress votes to suspend them.  2010 will likely be no different.  A report by Health Affairs cites that, if physician payment rates are held constant, the more likely growth in Medicare will be 5.1 percent in 2010.  Whether or not these physician cuts occur is no small matter—with them, overall health spending growth would be 3.9 percent.  Under the more likely scenario, health spending growth would be 4.7 percent.

Thus far, the debate on health care reform has focused on increasing government spending to reduce the number of uninsured.  But government spending should be moving in the opposite direction.

It isn’t a very pretty picture.  Not only will tax paying Americans have to shoulder their load of health care costs, but they face an increasing amount of costs from the folks who look to Uncle Sam to pay their way.

Change needs to happen.  It just doesn’t need to further us across the Bridge to Dependence, or make Cloward and Piven happy.

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